I'M BETTOR | FREE Soccer and Football Predictions analyzed by unique system and team of experienced tipsters. Football tips and Match Previews for 150+ Leagues and Cups!
I'M BETTOR | Free Football Predictions
FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS   MATCH PREVIEWS   BETTING ARTICLESbetting articles   TABLES/STATISTICS    
  ODDS | LIVE SCORESlive scores | LIVE STREAMSlive football streams | FOOTBALL HIGHLIGHTS | FOOTBALL DAILY | BOOKMAKERS | online casinoCASINO
  Advertisement
Bookmaker Reviews & Betting Offers
  Betting recommendation
10betYour Winning Kick-off!
Get an extra 50% up to €200 on your first deposit. Bonus code: FD200
Read our 10bet review
€25 Insured Bet!
Sign up with Unibet and get your 25EUR welcome bonus now!
Read Unibet review
mybetExclusive 100% bonus!
Claim your €100 first deposit bonus and start betting on your favourite sports! Exclusive offer for I'M BETTOR users!
Read mybet review
bet365Double your deposit!
Join the world's leading online betting group and receive 100% deposit bonus!
Read our bet365 review
PinnaclePinnacle
Are you looking for the best odds with the highest betting limits? You just found it!
Read Pinnacle review
william-hillTriple your deposit!
William Hill provides an industry leading betting experience to sports bettors. To make the picture complete, they offer a £/€20 Free Bet.
Read William Hill review
Be a winner!
Open an account, make a deposit of €30 or more and you will be entitled to a 100% bonus on your qualifying deposit up to a maximum of €200.
Read Winner review
Double your deposit!
Claim your bonus and get into action: Deposit 25GBP and bet for 50GBP! Bet with Betsson on best markets.
Read Betsson review
SBOBETGet EXTRA on your first deposit!
Join SBOBET now and get your 150EUR deposit bonus! Bonus code: DEPBON19
Read SBOBET review
Livescores   Soccer.ru
Rambler's Top100  
 

Highlights from our Super Bowl Discussion Day

Published: 20.02.2017 06:06


Two weeks ago, the world was tuning into Super Bowl LI. To celebrate one of the biggest events in the sporting calendar, Pinnacle hosted a Super Bowl Discussion Day on Twitter with a panel of experts, including our leading NFL trader, answering all kinds of questions about Super Bowl betting. Read on for the insightful advice that was shared.

What is a Discussion Day?

If you don’t follow Pinnacle on Twitter already or haven’t read the recap of our soccer betting Discussion Day, you may be wondering what a Discussion Day is. In short, it is another example of Pinnacle doing something that no other bookmaker does - educating bettors. 

A Discussion Day occurs once a month and is about a particular sport or betting theme - giving bettors a chance to ask any questions they might have. Using expert writers, professional bettors and even Pinnacle traders, we aim to answer every question and discuss any topic that will empower our followers’ betting.

What did bettors want to know?

NFL bettors will know there are multiple factors to consider when betting in the regular season - and perhaps even more so for the Super Bowl. During our Discussion Day, everything from how Pinnacle sets lines, to where bettors can find value was covered.

The importance of certain players

The beauty of the Super Bowl is that it can be decided by one piece of magic from an individual player or an unforgettable mistake from someone else. The quarter back often takes centre stage in the NFL and plenty of our followers wanted to know what value, in terms of odds, could be placed on the head of Tom Brady and Matt Ryan.

As you would expect, both players have a major influence on their team’s odds - Tom Brady’s absence would have moved the line from Atlanta +3 to Atlanta -3.5. If Matt Ryan were unable to play, the New England Patriots would have moved from a 3 point favourite to double-digit favourites.

What market should you bet on?

There’s a big difference between understanding the types of bet that are available and what markets you should bet on. We’ve previously explained the basic NFL bet types in an article, but several of our followers wanted to know how to find the value in these markets.

The aim of the game is to find discrepancies in odds - this could be in various markets, including Money Line, Handicap or Totals. The Super Bowl also offers a whole host of Specials markets, but as advised in our analysis of Super Bowl coin toss betting, some of these are merely bet on for fun.

Our articles on using Pythagorean theorem and yards per play rankings to form a betting strategy highlight how bettors can profit from the Handicap market when betting on the NFL and Super Bowl.

Using stats to your advantage

Pinnacle has always promoted an analytical approach to betting - using stats and strategies is one of the main methods that bettors can use to improve results. There are countless statistics available to NFL bettors for both individual players and teams, but some struggle to pinpoint which stats are the most useful in terms of betting.

Yards per play rankings and net yards per pass attempt against opposition defence allowance are examples of more common statistic used for the basis of betting strategies. How often a team wins or loses close games and their Over/Under record can also be very informative.

Other factors to consider

Most bettors are aware of the impact home field advantage (HFA) can have on NFL betting. However, some of these bettors have struggled to quantify the value of HFA during the playoffs and in the build up to the Super Bowl.

It is important to note that during the playoffs, divisional home teams have a bye week - this means HFA doesn’t just apply to the venue the teams play in but the amount of rest each side has before playoff games.

As for the Super Bowl itself, being held at a neutral venue meant the potential HFA effect for either New England Patriots or Atlanta Falcons was very limited. The venue was also at the centre of other questions we were asked during the Discussion Day.

Weather is another external factor that any sharp NFL bettor will analyse before betting. Once again, the Super Bowl venue (the NRG Stadium) reduced any potential effect this could have - this time because it has a roof that can be opened or closed depending on the weather. It is still always worth thinking about what the wind speed might mean for NFL betting though.

The NFL season might be over, but at least there's plenty of time to refine your betting strategies and learn as much as you can before it all starts again. Want to learn more about NFL betting? Follow Pinnacle on Twitter.

See the latest odds here
Football beginner
Benjamin studied English with Creative Writing (BA) before pursuing a career that combined his love of sport and fascination with betting. An avid fan of numerous sports, his writing now covers anything from in-depth major sporting event previews, to examining betting trends and techniques.

By Benjamin Cronin

Read more about the author

Related Articles

  • Highlights from our Super Bowl Discussion Day

    Two weeks ago, the world was tuning into Super Bowl LI. To celebrate one of the biggest events in the sporting calendar, Pinnacle hosted a Super Bowl Discussion Day on Twitter with a panel of...
  • UFC 209 Betting

    On March 4th, the UFC returns to La Vegas for the much-anticipated rematch pitting Welterweight champion Tyron Woodley against Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson. After they fought to a draw at...
  • FA Cup preview

    The fifth round of the FA Cup features the last 16 sides in the competition. A place in the quarterfinals is assured with a win, so every team will be looking to move one step closer to the chance of...
  • Corners betting in soccer

    While you'll be hard pushed to find a bookmaker who doesn’t collate a wealth of data to form their soccer betting odds, moving away from the standard 1X2 and Handicap markets might give you a...
  • The search for truth

    Opinion is free, but information is very expensive, which is a harsh reality for bettors who derive an edge from reacting to news before the odds do. In an ever-more digitally connected world the...
  • Champions League group stage in numbers

    Ahead of the Champions League knockout phase, we've compiled a list of key Champions League group stage stats that could give you a crucial advantage in your Champions League betting.
  • The Kelly Criterion - A stock trader and betting expert’s perspective

    Wisdom of the crowd insight - based on the Betting Resources list of most popular articles - underlines the perceived importance of staking methods. My experience echoes this, so when invited to...
  • A summary of a live Q&A with our Head Tennis Trader

    On the eve of the Australian Open, Pinnacle hosted a Trader Talk session on Twitter with our Head Tennis Trader. During the session, we received some great questions and gave out some insightful...
  • Inside a sports hedge fund

    The Holy Grail for bettors is generating a regular income from their activities. Professional bettors are a small and exclusive group, understandably reluctant to share their insight. Despite this,...
  • Why Moonlight can beat La La Land in Best Picture

    Having totally swept the awards so far, La La Land is a frontrunner for Oscar glory in the Best Picture. However, there is one key reason that could see the old school Hollywood musical miss out on...
  • An in-depth look at the Champions League winner odds

    The Champions League knockout stage will begin on 16 February 2017. Since the draw was made, bettors have been looking for value in the Champions League winner odds. So, who has the best chance of...
  • Top 10 must-follow Twitter accounts for soccer betting

    Successful bettors will often rely on being able to access accurate information before anyone else to get an edge over the bookmaker. While information on Twitter might already be common knowledge,...
  • EPL game of the week

    In the highlight Premier League clash of the weekend, Liverpool - without a league win in 2017 - host second-placed Tottenham following a shock away loss to Hull at the weekend. Can Klopp afford...
  • Surviving in the shark tank

    Pinnacle has been successfully operating a unique high volume, low margin, winners welcome model since 1998. We are often asked why this approach hasn't been successfully copied. The fascinating...
  • UFC 208 Betting

    On February 11th, 2017, the UFC will continue to enjoy its newly legal status in New York when Brooklyn plays host to UFC 208. With the main event pitting Holly Holm against Germaine de Randamie...
  • Part 4

    Since the start of the 2016/17 Premier League season, we have analysed the predictions of soccer pundit Mark Lawrenson and compared them to Pinnacle’s predictions. Exactly 200 predictions have...
  • Is Leipzig the next Leicester City?

    The low scoring nature of football means that while quality tends to be rewarded in the long term, shocks and upsets do occur. That was the case with Leicester City in the past season and Leipzig...
  • Crossfit Open 2017 betting

    The Crossfit Open 2017 is upon us. Thousands of athletes from all over the world will be competing in the first stage of the largest community event of the year for a chance to win the title of...
  • The law of small numbers in sports betting

    The law of small numbers is a cognitive bias where people show a tendency to believe that a relatively small number of observations will closely reflect the general population. Read on to test your...
  • How to bet on Super Bowl 51 special markets

    After 17 regular season weeks, three post season weeks and a brief pause for the Pro Bowl, it is finally time for the best team in this year's NFL to be decided. While sports fans try to predict...
  • EPL game of the week

    It's derby time in London, with Chelsea hosting Arsenal in a match where the Premier League leaders will be looking to extend their lead at the top with another home win. Will Conte’s side take...
  • Who will win Super Bowl LI?

    The time has come. The wait is over. On Sunday, the Atlanta Falcons are facing the New England Patriots in a match that will decide which is the best team in this year's NFL. Who will get to take...
  • EPL game of the week

    With Chelsea leading the Premier League table comfortably, Antonio Conte's trip to Anfield is the next obstacle in his way on the race to the Premier League title. Will Chelsea steal all three points...
  • What is survivorship bias?

    With success stories of professional bettors living the good life all over the internet, how easy is it to get consistent profits in the sports markets? Joseph Buchdahl, who has evaluated over 100...
  • Why information is more valuable than soccer betting tips

    Knowing about something before anyone else is the key to successful betting. Instead of wasting time with soccer betting tips, smart bettors will collate as much information as possible, analyse the...
  • Betting Resources top 5 most popular articles of 2016

    Throughout 2016, the popularity of articles within Betting Resources soared. Written by sports betting experts, ex-traders and renowned authors, these articles have helped educate bettors about...
  • Academy Awards 2017

    On February 26, the 89th edition of the Academy Awards will shower Hollywood's brightest with adoration. This prestigious event gives bettors's a chance to make a profit, but only if they can beat...
  • Introducing Betting Resources

    Pinnacle does things differently to other bookmakers. While our competitors are falling over themselves to invent ever-more outlandish promotions, we are unashamedly no-gimmicks. Our unique...
  • Introducing the Betting Resources authors

    In addition to the core team of editors and writers at Pinnacle, we have a collection of external contributors that range from university lecturers and renowned authors, to ex-traders and esteemed...
  • An interview with world famous sports bettor Lewis Deyong

    Listening to our customers, one thing is crystal clear; you want to know how to improve your betting and you want to hear it from real experts. What better way to deliver on that request than by...
Comments
Comment Box is loading comments...
 
  All previews today
  Football Daily
  Advertisement
  About
I'M BETTOR brings you free football predictions (soccer predictions) and free football tips, match previews, betting articles, football tables, football fixtures & results for over 150 Football Leagues & Cups. Compare odds from 80+ bookmakers, find the best odds with odds comparison tool and check our betting strategy articles before you place a bet.
 
IAM BETTOR | Football predictions
About Us   |   Contact Us   |   Terms of Use   |   Partners
"I'M BETTOR is a unique online service that offers high quality and profitable FREE football predictions for all major football leagues using its unique self-learning neural network algorithm that provides precise football predictions and football betting tips based on statistical analysis such as points, goals, attack and defense rating, league standings, team progress/recession etc. Afterwards we take into account: team news, injuries, suspensions, importance of the match, weather and adjust outcome tip.

Our team consists of over 40 professional football analysts with 10+ years of experience and we try our best to ensure that you are provided with the most precise football predictions. Based on our system and experience we can predict the result of a football match with up to 80% success rate.

Warning! This site contains informational content on online betting services. Please be advised that you need to be 18+ years of age to browse this website. Internet gambling is NOT legal in certain areas. Consult your local authorities prior to registering with any online betting service.

Gambling involves high psychological and financial risks. I'M BETTOR cannot be held responsible for any loss or damage as consequence of decisions based on information, betting advices or links provided on this site. The visitor is warned to act exclusively at his own discretion and risk.
I'M BETTOR cannot guarantee the correctness of information obtained from third parties.

18+ Gamcare Do not use this football predictions or betting tips if you feel you might have a gambling problem. GamCare is the leading provider of information, advice, support and free counseling for the prevention and treatment of problem gambling. Make your next click to a group that will help you deal with your situation."
Copyright © 2008 - SPORTMEDIA24